However a package of liberalization is in preparation

Fourth exporter world oil, but forced to buy its gasoline! The Iran illustrates in its own way the famous word of Coluche on mismanagement, "be master of the Sahara and two years later import sand." This paradox is related to the weak Iranian investments in refining capacity, themselves reflections of low short investments. There are few Westerners to venture into the country because of the cumbersome nature of bureaucracy, while the flight of capital out of Iran remains a rampant problem. Especially since the arrival to the Presidency, the last year, of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, presented as the puppet of the Conservatives, but that seems to have many gained autonomy.

Basic Iranians certainly benefit little from the outbreak of the black gold, which represents 80 of revenues to the export of the country and allows to register a growth of 5.5 this year, except accident. Unemployment (officially encrypted in 11 of the population active but probably close to 32), inflation (the data on the expansion of the money supply or rent the are between 34 and non-official 10) and real-estate speculation affect the standard of living of households. For a year, President increased allowances and grants to turn in arms, but, says Azadeh Kian-Thiébaut, researcher at CNRS and author of "The Republic" Islamic Iran, these increases are offset by inflation. And the popular classes that brought Ahmadinejad to power find employment opportunities for their children (an Iranian on two twenty age) have not improved. Almost everyone is required to have a small job to black addition to official work; the grey economy would represent half of GDP.

Governmental inconsistencies prompted last month some 50 economists, academic, former senior public servants to write an open letter to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to share their concern before the squandering of oil revenues. They criticize excessive intervention of the Government in economic and social, the rapid increase in imports and the removal of billions of dollars into the reserve fund oil to fund allocations and expenditures, not investment.

Specific privatization

They denounce as too accommodating monetary policy, the disruption of a banking system plagued by interest rates administered, policy pay laxiste, and the reckless fiscal dusting and promises not budgeted by the President. Structural reforms, the necessary increase in rates public, overhauling the banking sector or the reduction of subsidies to households which absorb a significant portion of GDP, they are at a standstill.

However, a package of "liberalization" is in preparation. It takes the form of a program of privatizations theoretically affecting the public sector, apart from oil and telecommunications. In fact, the State and religious foundations who control the economy in more than 80 have a unique design of privatization. These are the leaders of charitable foundations, which are often actually screens companies to manage the Affairs of the mullahs and the guardians of the revolution, the pasdaran, which may win low-priced assets under their management. According to an observer, it will be of "divide what remains of the cake for the benefit of the relatives of Ahmadinejad. While some believe to see in this project a positive "signal" to foreign investors or a desire to prepare the next accession to the Organization World Trade, others believe that precipitation with which prepares the wave of privatizations may be explained by the fear of having to soon suffer from international sanctions, which may cause the landscape policy indoors with the litmus test of loyalties to the regime.