Ultimate meetings recent calls to mobilization

Ultimate meetings, recent calls to mobilization. Three days of the second round of regional elections, Martine Aubry and François Fillon multiplying movement of support for candidates. The first Secretary of the PS visited yesterday in Corsica and Pays de la Loire. The Prime Minister, he was in Rhône-Alpes and in Paris, going today in Paca and Alsace. In this last area, one of only two preserved right in 2004, the second tower remains open. "The mother of all battles", ignited François Hollande.

The voters. This is the question that taps, right to left, all policy makers: that will be in the second round the French who have shunned the polls in the first Not less than 53,65 percent registered refrained from voting, with spikes in Lorraine (58.5), champagne-Ardenne (57) and Alsace (56.6). The majority, who used this disaffection to put into perspective the magnitude of the punishment vote, dream of remobilization of voters to reverse the trend in some key regions. Will "next Sunday, every vote count", repeated tirelessly François Fillon in each of his movements. Fearing that left voters feel not sufficiently mobilized Conversely, the Socialists, Martine Aubry at the top, insist on the fact that "there is no is won" and the need to force Nicolas Sarkozy - according to her in "denial"-"listen to the message of the voters." At the regional, 2004, abstention rate had fallen by 4.8 points between the two rounds of voting (from 39.1 to 34.3). But the burst of participation received especially on the left, scored in the first round.

National Front score. Maintaining in the second round in 12 constituencies, the national Front seal still more the hopes of the right, who produced a score historically low last Sunday. In 2004, the extreme right party declined on average in the second round as a percentage of the vote (except in the Calais and Alsace Aquitaine), but it had slightly increased in voice: of 18.763 total (to more than 3.2 million) in the 17 regions where it had imposed a triangular. Jean-Marie Le Pen hopes to do better. To settle its accounts with the right, which it alleged to have been intended to "kill" the FN in refusing since long any alliance (some had been sealed after the regional, 1998) and "stealing" his voters in 2007. But not only. The formation of extreme right knows he must obtain "a maximum of elected officials", closer to the figure of 2004 (156) to maintain its chances of getting the 500 sponsorships needed to enter the presidential race.

The reports of votes left. When lists have been competing in the first round, voters do not necessarily vote for the remaining finalists in the second round, even if it is the product of a merger between competitors from yesterday. This loss in line with the potential mobilization of right-wing voters, is the only hope of the majority to hold the pink wave - left lists and various left having totaled 50.31 of the vote last Sunday. Also the leaders of the majority is are they relayed throughout the week to attract voters ecologists - judged to be more volatile - or any of at least convince them not to vote PS focusing on substantive differences between the two parties. According to a survey OpinionWay the day of the first round, 63 of voters ecologists thought vote for a list on the left in the second round, as well as 53 of the supporters of the Modem and 76 of those of the extreme left.

The battle of the communication. The right wanted to an asset of the Entre-Deux-tours of his unit. But, to a beginning of Sling at all costs protect the Executive in rejecting any suggestion of sanction, Nicolas Sarkozy and the leadership of the UMP have been in their own camp. "It has taken a slap," said yesterday still on Europe 1 former Chirac supporter François Baroin, calling the majority to "wake". Back to the order of François Fillon has not stopped critics. Nicolas Sarkozy received yesterday Jean-François Copé in the Elysee Palace, probably in an attempt to control the school meeting, Tuesday, the Group UMP in the Assembly. Conversely, leaders of the opposition have managed to play down their cases of apparent disagreements in metropolitan France (there is a triangular left in Britain, in Limousin) while they do less well in 2004, where the division only had prevailed in Corsica. Superficial appearance, the battle of influence on the interpretation of the results of the second round will be in fact crucial to determine the general mood and therefore the pressure that will weigh on the Executive. The right WINS does a region of more, and the deposit will be given by the Executive to focus on the progress of the right. François Fillon and Xavier Bertrand already preparing field focusing on the position as an outsider of the UMP. But if, in the wake of the first round, the UMP recedes again, change requests from any share (of the opposition but the majority) will be amplified.

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